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Red70
490925.2
431120.9
492923.7
Blue83
31933.7
490533.2
476125.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46950204060801201407083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#10
25.21.9
17.919.8
Auto7.9
Teleop12.6
End4.7
blue by 8.5
319
#1
33.70.0
26.026.0
Auto5.8
Teleop19.8
End8.1
Second
23.71.9
15.617.5
Auto7.1
Teleop11.1
End5.5
blue by 9.5
33.20.0
34.534.5
Auto11.1
Teleop16.4
End5.8
Third
4311
#34
20.91.9
19.221.2
Auto9.3
Teleop7.2
End4.4
blue by 4.3
25.20.1
22.922.9
Auto5.7
Teleop15.7
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
29%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned