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Red40
15119.4
556316.5
169924.2
Blue56
476125.2
271318.7
50122.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5459203040507080904056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1699
#28
24.21.6
21.720.1
Auto9.3
Teleop10.4
End4.5
blue by 1.0
25.20.1
23.723.8
Auto5.7
Teleop15.7
End3.8
Second
151
#25
19.41.6
13.912.4
Auto5.2
Teleop11.2
End3.0
blue by 2.9
501
#18
22.20.1
17.417.4
Auto9.7
Teleop10.2
End2.3
Third
5563
#32
16.51.6
18.617.0
Auto3.5
Teleop10.4
End2.6
blue by 2.2
2713
#22
18.70.1
14.214.3
Auto6.0
Teleop10.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
19%Breach oddsMissed52%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed