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Red42
476125.2
516312.2
447420.8
Blue24
356610.7
107314.7
176116.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6043020801001201401604224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.22.1
21.018.9
Auto5.7
Teleop15.7
End3.8
red by 9.0
1761
#38
16.22.1
17.114.9
Auto3.7
Teleop10.2
End2.4
Second
4474
#16
20.82.1
16.914.8
Auto5.7
Teleop11.8
End3.3
red by 6.1
1073
#21
14.72.1
12.09.8
Auto5.1
Teleop8.8
End0.8
Third
5163
#39DQ
12.22.1
17.815.7
Auto3.0
Teleop7.0
End2.2
red by 1.4
3566
#23
10.71.3
9.28.0
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsMissed38%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed