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Red61
417618.4
447420.8
492923.7
Blue53
169924.2
393030.2
596912.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5267204060801001206153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.8
18.619.4
Auto7.1
Teleop11.1
End5.5
blue by 6.5
30.21.1
29.728.7
Auto7.2
Teleop17.6
End5.4
Second
4474
#16
20.80.8
18.619.5
Auto5.7
Teleop11.8
End3.3
blue by 3.4
1699
#28
24.21.1
22.221.2
Auto9.3
Teleop10.4
End4.5
Third
4176
#29
18.40.9
15.116.0
Auto4.5
Teleop11.7
End2.2
red by 6.3
5969
#36
12.11.1
11.910.9
Auto2.5
Teleop8.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach oddsMissed39%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed