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Red100
393030.2
105831.5
534715.4
Blue75
271318.7
31933.7
516312.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions746020408010012010075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.52.0
28.830.8
Auto9.5
Teleop15.0
End7.0
blue by 2.2
319
#1
33.71.1
30.831.9
Auto5.8
Teleop19.8
End8.1
Second
30.22.4
28.831.1
Auto7.2
Teleop17.6
End5.4
red by 11.5
2713
#22
18.71.4
16.517.9
Auto6.0
Teleop10.8
End1.8
Third
5347
#35
15.42.4
13.015.4
Auto6.3
Teleop6.1
End3.0
red by 3.3
5163
#39
12.21.2
10.912.2
Auto3.0
Teleop7.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned64%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed