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Red75
545917.8
490533.2
196515.9
Blue59
447420.8
128917.6
556316.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70552040801001207559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.20.6
33.734.3
Auto11.1
Teleop16.4
End5.8
red by 12.5
4474
#16
20.80.3
21.121.4
Auto5.7
Teleop11.8
End3.3
Second
5459
#27
17.80.7
17.117.8
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End2.1
red by 0.2
1289
#26
17.60.3
17.317.6
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End4.6
Third
1965
#33
15.90.7
15.315.9
Auto1.3
Teleop9.6
End5.0
blue by 0.5
5563
#32
16.50.3
16.216.5
Auto3.5
Teleop10.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach oddsEarned47%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed