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Red119
105831.5
31933.7
616122.5
Blue131
287625.5
208430.0
24618.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1099220406080100120140160119131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#1
33.70.3
32.632.9
Auto5.8
Teleop19.8
End8.1
red by 3.7
30.00.1
30.130.3
Auto10.2
Teleop15.4
End4.4
Second
31.50.3
30.430.7
Auto9.5
Teleop15.0
End7.0
red by 6.0
25.50.1
25.625.8
Auto9.2
Teleop14.6
End1.6
Third
6161
#19
22.50.4
21.221.6
Auto9.1
Teleop9.4
End3.9
red by 3.8
246
#37
18.60.1
18.818.9
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End2.4