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Red154
404828.4
172928.1
46726.9
Blue112
314625.5
115325.5
17227.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101104050150200250300350400154112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4048
#15
28.40.6
27.628.3
Auto6.6
Teleop18.7
End3.2
red by 1.0
172
#10
27.40.1
27.327.4
Auto10.8
Teleop12.6
End4.0
Second
28.10.6
27.327.9
Auto8.4
Teleop15.4
End4.3
red by 2.6
3146
#33
25.50.1
25.425.5
Auto5.9
Teleop14.5
End5.2
Third
467
#22
26.90.7
26.026.7
Auto6.1
Teleop15.4
End5.4
red by 1.4
25.50.1
25.425.5
Auto7.7
Teleop14.7
End3.0