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Red65
584412.7
526514.8
176828.2
Blue84
207925.5
206727.2
115325.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51730204060801001206584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#29
28.20.8
25.326.1
Auto7.3
Teleop15.8
End5.2
red by 1.0
2067
#25
27.22.8
28.831.7
Auto10.8
Teleop12.8
End3.6
Second
5265
#37
14.80.8
14.815.6
Auto3.4
Teleop9.2
End2.1
blue by 10.7
2079
#17
25.52.8
15.518.4
Auto9.7
Teleop11.9
End3.9
Third
5844
#36
12.70.8
12.913.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.1
End0.7
blue by 12.8
25.52.8
14.217.0
Auto7.7
Teleop14.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsEarned49%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed