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Red80
216829.3
110027.0
71624.6
Blue30
456440.7
540012.5
409715.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8163020401001201408030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
#19
29.30.9
25.925.0
Auto6.3
Teleop17.6
End5.4
blue by 11.3
40.73.7
31.427.7
Auto10.0
Teleop25.7
End5.0
Second
1100
#16
27.00.9
29.428.5
Auto8.2
Teleop14.7
End4.1
red by 11.6
4097
#21
15.43.7
18.414.7
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End1.2
Third
716
#8
24.60.9
23.222.2
Auto6.2
Teleop15.1
End3.2
red by 12.1
5400
#39DQ
12.53.7
13.69.9
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach oddsEarned58%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed