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Red101
405528.4
264827.6
314625.5
Blue59
110027.0
173523.4
323616.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676105010015020010159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.41.8
26.027.8
Auto8.5
Teleop16.2
End3.7
red by 1.4
1100
#16
27.00.8
28.527.6
Auto8.2
Teleop14.7
End4.1
Second
2648
#13
27.62.9
19.622.5
Auto9.9
Teleop14.4
End3.2
red by 4.1
1735
#30
23.40.7
18.918.2
Auto6.0
Teleop13.0
End4.4
Third
3146
#33
25.52.9
19.022.0
Auto5.9
Teleop14.5
End5.2
red by 9.0
3236
#35
16.50.8
14.213.3
Auto4.7
Teleop9.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned60%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed