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Red45
216829.3
540012.5
35556.8
Blue55
127728.3
409715.4
584412.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665102040801001201404555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
#19
29.33.0
27.224.3
Auto6.3
Teleop17.6
End5.4
red by 1.0
28.30.4
16.817.2
Auto10.0
Teleop15.1
End3.2
Second
5400
#39DQ
12.53.0
17.114.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End0.7
blue by 2.9
4097
#21
15.40.4
19.219.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End1.2
Third
3555
#40DQ
6.83.0
17.514.5
Auto0.4
Teleop6.9
End-0.6
blue by 5.9
5844
#36
12.70.7
16.716.0
Auto5.0
Teleop7.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
46%Breach oddsMissed38%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed