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Red92
581329.0
127728.3
287734.1
Blue65
404828.4
71624.6
314625.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions707440506080901001109265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#12
34.11.6
26.027.6
Auto14.6
Teleop16.8
End2.8
red by 5.7
4048
#15
28.40.8
22.922.0
Auto6.6
Teleop18.7
End3.2
Second
29.01.3
18.119.4
Auto7.6
Teleop17.8
End3.6
red by 3.6
3146
#33
25.50.8
22.021.2
Auto5.9
Teleop14.5
End5.2
Third
28.31.6
23.325.0
Auto10.0
Teleop15.1
End3.2
red by 3.7
716
#8
24.60.8
27.426.6
Auto6.2
Teleop15.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned82%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed