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Red78
512227.0
323616.5
71624.6
Blue64
320523.0
404219.0
237027.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions765302040601001207864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5122
#26
27.00.2
29.229.4
Auto9.4
Teleop13.3
End4.3
blue by 0.3
2370
#18
27.31.0
20.121.2
Auto8.4
Teleop14.9
End3.9
Second
716
#8
24.60.2
26.226.3
Auto6.2
Teleop15.1
End3.2
red by 1.6
3205
#24
23.01.0
19.420.3
Auto3.4
Teleop17.1
End2.5
Third
3236
#35
16.50.2
16.016.1
Auto4.7
Teleop9.1
End2.7
blue by 2.5
4042
#34
19.01.0
15.116.1
Auto6.6
Teleop9.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsEarned58%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed