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Red88
323616.5
237027.3
15725.3
Blue55
197314.0
526514.8
127728.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67602040801008855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#18
27.32.2
24.426.6
Auto8.4
Teleop14.9
End3.9
blue by 1.1
28.30.4
28.928.6
Auto10.0
Teleop15.1
End3.2
Second
157
#27
25.31.7
24.426.0
Auto8.1
Teleop14.2
End3.0
red by 10.5
5265
#37
14.80.3
15.214.8
Auto3.4
Teleop9.2
End2.1
Third
3236
#35
16.52.0
14.216.2
Auto4.7
Teleop9.1
End2.7
red by 2.5
1973
#38
14.00.3
15.114.8
Auto4.4
Teleop9.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned51%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed