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Red62
71624.6
540012.5
12636.6
Blue64
404828.4
17526.9
404118.3
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6768455055607580856264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#2
36.60.5
28.928.4
Auto9.4
Teleop21.5
End5.7
red by 8.2
4048
#15
28.41.3
24.323.0
Auto6.6
Teleop18.7
End3.2
Second
716
#8
24.60.5
23.723.2
Auto6.2
Teleop15.1
End3.2
blue by 2.3
175
#28
26.91.3
27.426.1
Auto9.4
Teleop13.8
End3.7
Third
5400
#39DQ
12.50.5
14.113.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End0.7
blue by 5.8
4041
#32
18.31.3
14.312.9
Auto6.0
Teleop9.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsEarned58%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed