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Red92
264827.6
456440.7
110027.0
Blue148
404828.4
172928.1
46726.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12010040608014016018092148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.1
40.740.7
Auto10.0
Teleop25.7
End5.0
red by 12.2
4048
#15
28.40.5
28.228.6
Auto6.6
Teleop18.7
End3.2
Second
2648
#13
27.60.1
27.627.6
Auto9.9
Teleop14.4
End3.2
blue by 0.5
28.10.5
27.828.3
Auto8.4
Teleop15.4
End4.3
Third
1100
#16
27.00.1
27.127.0
Auto8.2
Teleop14.7
End4.1
red by 0.1
467
#22
26.90.5
26.627.1
Auto6.1
Teleop15.4
End5.4