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Red82
284930.9
253431.3
22563.8
Blue45
394124.9
584129.0
88830.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139780501002002503003508245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
63.80.0
63.863.8
Auto16.7
Teleop36.9
End10.2
red by 33.2
888
#19
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End5.0
Second
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto11.7
Teleop10.9
End8.7
red by 2.4
5841
#30
29.00.0
29.029.0
Auto8.1
Teleop16.6
End4.3
Third
2849
#16
30.90.0
30.930.9
Auto10.5
Teleop15.2
End5.2
red by 5.9
3941
#29
24.90.0
24.924.9
Auto6.8
Teleop14.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds93%Breach odds
Capture
19%Capture odds9%Capture odds