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Red81
171927.0
451417.4
33931.4
Blue43
191519.2
338925.9
253730.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7878455565707580858143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
339
#4
31.40.0
31.431.4
Auto9.2
Teleop19.4
End2.8
red by 0.8
2537
#24
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto9.5
Teleop15.7
End5.4
Second
27.00.0
27.027.0
Auto8.6
Teleop14.3
End4.1
red by 1.1
3389
#15
25.90.0
25.925.9
Auto9.0
Teleop12.4
End4.5
Third
4514
#18
17.40.0
17.417.4
Auto6.2
Teleop10.4
End0.8
blue by 1.8
1915
#20
19.20.0
19.219.2
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach odds82%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds5%Capture odds