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Red72
252830.7
253730.6
511530.9
Blue76
594524.3
291224.8
22563.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions901210501502002503003504007276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.0
30.930.9
Auto7.4
Teleop17.7
End5.7
blue by 32.9
225
#1
63.80.0
63.863.8
Auto16.7
Teleop36.9
End10.2
Second
2528
#28
30.70.0
30.730.7
Auto7.7
Teleop17.0
End6.0
red by 6.0
2912
#14
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto9.8
Teleop10.4
End4.6
Third
2537
#24
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto9.5
Teleop15.7
End5.4
red by 6.3
5945
#23
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds88%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds6%Capture odds