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Red133
83633.3
141843.7
482115.2
Blue107
68629.2
558728.2
451418.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11693406080100140160180133107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.70.1
43.343.2
Auto8.7
Teleop23.6
End11.3
red by 14.4
686
#7
29.20.3
29.029.4
Auto9.7
Teleop15.6
End4.0
Second
836
#4
33.30.1
32.832.7
Auto11.4
Teleop16.1
End5.8
red by 5.1
28.20.3
28.028.3
Auto8.4
Teleop15.7
End4.1
Third
4821
#20
15.20.1
14.714.6
Auto4.2
Teleop9.0
End2.0
blue by 3.5
4514
#24
18.60.3
18.418.8
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End2.8