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Red124
83633.3
141843.7
291215.2
Blue17
597914.3
218614.6
445616.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12349010015020012417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.70.1
43.042.9
Auto8.7
Teleop23.6
End11.3
red by 26.7
4456
#15
16.90.9
18.117.1
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End0.6
Second
836
#4
33.30.2
32.432.2
Auto11.4
Teleop16.1
End5.8
red by 18.7
2186
#12
14.60.7
15.514.7
Auto1.4
Teleop10.8
End2.4
Third
2912
#17
15.20.2
15.215.0
Auto7.3
Teleop6.5
End1.4
red by 0.9
5979
#18
14.30.9
15.314.5
Auto4.0
Teleop7.5
End2.8