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Red96
188525.9
253732.4
49499.4
Blue92
494528.2
511520.8
556917.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77840501001502009692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.40.4
30.130.5
Auto13.0
Teleop13.4
End6.0
red by 4.2
28.20.2
28.028.2
Auto7.6
Teleop14.8
End5.8
Second
1885
#13
25.90.5
23.423.8
Auto4.5
Teleop18.0
End3.4
red by 5.1
20.80.2
20.620.8
Auto7.4
Teleop10.4
End2.9
Third
4949
#33
9.40.5
6.97.3
Auto1.8
Teleop7.1
End0.4
blue by 7.8
5569
#16
17.20.1
17.017.2
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End3.7