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Red100
138923.1
424230.6
290018.8
Blue102
365021.7
328321.3
219920.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9163204080100120140160100102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.60.2
29.830.0
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End5.5
red by 8.9
3650
#19
21.70.7
20.421.1
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End3.8
Second
23.10.3
21.922.2
Auto6.9
Teleop14.2
End1.9
red by 1.8
3283
#11
21.30.6
20.120.7
Auto6.1
Teleop10.8
End4.3
Third
2900
#25
18.80.3
17.718.0
Auto9.4
Teleop6.6
End2.9
blue by 1.5
2199
#14
20.40.6
19.219.8
Auto4.6
Teleop12.2
End3.6