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Red22
44920.3
296313.7
58309.5
Blue27
328321.3
14467.3
191513.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384102060802227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#22
20.31.7
19.617.9
Auto7.4
Teleop11.8
End1.1
blue by 1.0
3283
#11
21.32.0
14.612.7
Auto6.1
Teleop10.8
End4.3
Second
2963
#28
13.71.7
9.98.1
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End1.8
red by 0.3
1915
#27
13.42.0
13.011.0
Auto3.3
Teleop7.6
End2.5
Third
5830
#35
9.51.7
8.26.5
Auto2.1
Teleop6.3
End1.1
red by 2.2
1446
#37
7.32.0
12.110.1
Auto2.9
Teleop4.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
25%Breach oddsMissed19%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed