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Red77
141843.7
409913.8
374817.4
Blue78
379316.3
83633.3
558728.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62712040801001207778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.71.0
37.838.8
Auto8.7
Teleop23.6
End11.3
red by 10.4
836
#4
33.30.6
29.329.9
Auto11.4
Teleop16.1
End5.8
Second
3748
#30
17.41.7
11.212.9
Auto6.8
Teleop8.3
End2.3
blue by 10.8
28.20.3
25.125.4
Auto8.4
Teleop15.7
End4.1
Third
4099
#32
13.81.7
12.814.5
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End2.6
blue by 2.5
3793
#26
16.30.6
13.614.2
Auto6.9
Teleop8.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed