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Red37
58309.5
328321.3
296412.8
Blue32
584110.8
49499.4
556917.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37371020304050603732

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3283
#11
21.30.1
14.514.7
Auto6.1
Teleop10.8
End4.3
red by 4.1
5569
#16
17.20.2
16.216.0
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End3.7
Second
2964
#39
12.80.1
12.812.9
Auto2.9
Teleop8.4
End1.5
red by 2.0
5841
#34
10.80.4
11.611.2
Auto0.9
Teleop7.5
End2.3
Third
5830
#35
9.50.1
8.78.8
Auto2.1
Teleop6.3
End1.1
red by 0.2
4949
#33
9.40.4
7.97.5
Auto1.8
Teleop7.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
12%Breach oddsMissed15%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed