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Red69
365021.7
219920.4
463822.6
Blue49
291420.1
58309.5
379316.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6443020801006949

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4638
#10
22.60.9
21.322.2
Auto9.5
Teleop8.2
End4.8
red by 2.4
2914
#21
20.10.4
19.620.0
Auto8.4
Teleop8.6
End3.1
Second
3650
#19
21.71.0
19.420.4
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End3.8
red by 5.4
3793
#26
16.30.4
15.916.3
Auto6.9
Teleop8.3
End1.1
Third
2199
#14
20.41.0
18.019.0
Auto4.6
Teleop12.2
End3.6
red by 10.8
5830
#35
9.50.4
9.19.5
Auto2.1
Teleop6.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsMissed29%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed