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Red171
494533.8
463830.6
394122.7
Blue104
337321.7
584123.5
593620.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11175204060100120140160171104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.80.8
32.733.5
Auto10.5
Teleop18.2
End5.1
red by 10.3
5841
#12
23.50.4
23.023.5
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End4.1
Second
30.60.8
29.530.4
Auto12.3
Teleop12.6
End5.8
red by 9.0
3373
#17
21.70.4
21.221.7
Auto5.0
Teleop13.0
End3.7
Third
3941
#25
22.70.8
21.622.4
Auto3.4
Teleop16.0
End3.3
red by 2.5
5936
#14
20.20.4
19.820.2
Auto6.4
Teleop10.8
End3.0