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Red122
206829.9
111129.7
189521.7
Blue92
454118.9
446424.6
374820.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1057240608012014016012292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.90.4
29.630.0
Auto9.2
Teleop17.1
End3.6
red by 5.3
4464
#11
24.60.1
24.524.6
Auto8.9
Teleop11.7
End3.9
Second
29.70.4
29.429.8
Auto7.3
Teleop18.1
End4.3
red by 8.7
3748
#19
20.90.1
20.921.0
Auto8.0
Teleop9.9
End3.0
Third
1895
#28
21.70.4
21.421.8
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End3.7
red by 2.8
4541
#30
18.90.1
18.818.9
Auto5.1
Teleop11.9
End1.9