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Red54
511528.9
445620.5
594517.6
Blue75
409914.1
328322.6
494533.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5266204060801005475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.1
24.124.1
Auto7.7
Teleop16.0
End5.2
blue by 4.9
33.80.5
28.228.7
Auto10.5
Teleop18.2
End5.1
Second
4456
#18
20.50.1
16.116.1
Auto8.4
Teleop10.1
End2.1
blue by 2.1
3283
#20
22.60.6
22.923.5
Auto6.9
Teleop10.6
End5.2
Third
5945
#33
17.60.1
12.913.0
Auto6.1
Teleop8.0
End3.5
red by 3.5
4099
#26
14.10.5
11.011.5
Auto4.7
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsMissed54%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed