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Red85
524322.3
406714.5
171928.8
Blue50
413716.2
374820.9
510622.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions664102060801008550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.81.0
26.527.5
Auto6.5
Teleop17.3
End5.0
red by 6.2
5106
#29
22.60.7
13.514.2
Auto8.2
Teleop10.5
End4.0
Second
5243
#10
22.31.0
16.917.9
Auto10.1
Teleop8.2
End3.9
red by 1.3
3748
#19
20.90.4
16.717.1
Auto8.0
Teleop9.9
End3.0
Third
4067
#23
14.51.7
16.718.4
Auto2.7
Teleop9.5
End2.3
blue by 1.7
4137
#31
16.20.7
13.514.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned26%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed