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Red55
253734.3
394122.7
406714.5
Blue81
511528.9
533828.6
171928.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73723040506080901001105581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.31.3
32.431.1
Auto11.8
Teleop16.0
End6.5
red by 5.4
28.90.9
20.821.7
Auto7.7
Teleop16.0
End5.2
Second
3941
#25
22.71.8
20.719.0
Auto3.4
Teleop16.0
End3.3
blue by 6.1
28.80.8
23.824.7
Auto6.5
Teleop17.3
End5.0
Third
4067
#23
14.51.8
17.615.9
Auto2.7
Teleop9.5
End2.3
blue by 14.2
5338
#15
28.60.7
25.326.0
Auto7.1
Teleop15.7
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed