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Red56
511528.9
88826.7
413716.2
Blue75
524322.3
454118.9
494533.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67640501001505675

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.6
25.124.5
Auto7.7
Teleop16.0
End5.2
blue by 4.9
33.80.8
28.329.1
Auto10.5
Teleop18.2
End5.1
Second
888
#16
26.70.6
25.324.8
Auto6.1
Teleop16.0
End4.7
red by 4.5
5243
#10
22.30.8
18.519.3
Auto10.1
Teleop8.2
End3.9
Third
4137
#31
16.20.9
14.113.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End2.6
blue by 2.7
4541
#30
18.90.8
16.116.9
Auto5.1
Teleop11.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsMissed72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed