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Red65
5314.7
374820.9
111129.7
Blue50
144611.2
189521.7
446424.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506002040801006550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.71.0
23.424.4
Auto7.3
Teleop18.1
End4.3
red by 5.1
4464
#11
24.60.8
23.522.7
Auto8.9
Teleop11.7
End3.9
Second
3748
#19
20.91.0
17.618.6
Auto8.0
Teleop9.9
End3.0
blue by 0.8
1895
#28
21.70.8
23.722.9
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End3.7
Third
53
#32
14.71.6
9.511.1
Auto4.4
Teleop8.5
End1.8
red by 3.5
1446
#27
11.20.8
10.09.2
Auto3.3
Teleop7.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach oddsEarned26%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed