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Red76
413716.2
621315.5
206829.9
Blue85
253734.3
584123.5
446424.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions487802040601001201407685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.91.7
25.427.0
Auto9.2
Teleop17.1
End3.6
blue by 4.4
34.30.6
29.930.5
Auto11.8
Teleop16.0
End6.5
Second
4137
#31
16.22.6
14.316.9
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End2.6
blue by 8.4
4464
#11
24.60.6
23.223.8
Auto8.9
Teleop11.7
End3.9
Third
6213
#34
15.52.4
11.413.8
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End3.2
blue by 8.0
5841
#12
23.50.6
18.018.6
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
20%Breach oddsEarned65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed