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Red40
406714.5
413716.2
189521.7
Blue113
593620.2
298829.4
88826.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5879204010012014040113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1895
#28
21.71.6
24.022.4
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End3.7
blue by 7.7
29.41.0
25.726.7
Auto7.2
Teleop18.0
End4.2
Second
4137
#31
16.22.4
16.914.5
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End2.6
blue by 10.6
888
#16
26.71.0
25.926.8
Auto6.1
Teleop16.0
End4.7
Third
4067
#23
14.52.5
18.516.0
Auto2.7
Teleop9.5
End2.3
blue by 5.7
5936
#14
20.21.4
21.823.2
Auto6.4
Teleop10.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach oddsMissed91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed