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Red70
88826.7
337321.7
374820.9
Blue44
111129.7
237720.3
253734.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53832040601001201407044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#16
26.70.9
24.025.0
Auto6.1
Teleop16.0
End4.7
blue by 7.6
34.33.1
31.128.0
Auto11.8
Teleop16.0
End6.5
Second
3373
#17
21.70.9
16.317.2
Auto5.0
Teleop13.0
End3.7
blue by 8.0
29.72.8
23.320.5
Auto7.3
Teleop18.1
End4.3
Third
3748
#19
20.91.0
15.616.7
Auto8.0
Teleop9.9
End3.0
red by 0.6
2377
#24
20.34.7
22.017.3
Auto1.9
Teleop14.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed