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Red109
206829.9
111129.7
189521.7
Blue91
284928.3
171928.8
88826.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10010805015020010991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.90.2
30.130.3
Auto9.2
Teleop17.1
End3.6
red by 1.1
28.80.3
29.128.8
Auto6.5
Teleop17.3
End5.0
Second
29.70.2
29.930.0
Auto7.3
Teleop18.1
End4.3
red by 1.4
28.30.3
28.628.3
Auto9.6
Teleop15.1
End3.6
Third
1895
#28
21.70.2
21.922.1
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End3.7
blue by 5.0
888
#16
26.70.3
27.026.7
Auto6.1
Teleop16.0
End4.7