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Red146
162934.8
83638.3
394122.1
Blue104
68633.1
113731.2
406718.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12010450150200146104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#1
38.30.2
38.038.1
Auto12.9
Teleop20.5
End4.9
red by 5.2
686
#5
33.10.0
33.533.5
Auto11.0
Teleop18.5
End3.7
Second
34.80.2
34.434.6
Auto10.6
Teleop19.4
End4.8
red by 3.6
31.20.0
31.531.5
Auto9.6
Teleop16.0
End5.6
Third
3941
#26
22.10.2
21.721.9
Auto6.1
Teleop13.1
End2.9
red by 3.1
4067
#23
18.90.0
19.319.3
Auto4.7
Teleop12.1
End2.2