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Red128
242123.8
338929.4
291221.1
Blue103
533829.9
510625.6
112321.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8897050150128103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.40.2
28.929.1
Auto9.8
Teleop13.8
End5.8
blue by 0.5
5338
#17
29.90.1
29.229.2
Auto9.1
Teleop14.1
End6.6
Second
23.80.2
23.323.5
Auto5.7
Teleop14.4
End3.6
blue by 1.8
25.60.1
24.824.9
Auto10.0
Teleop9.9
End5.7
Third
2912
#24
21.10.2
20.620.8
Auto9.1
Teleop8.4
End3.6
blue by 0.6
1123
#22
21.70.1
21.021.0
Auto8.7
Teleop10.1
End2.9