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Red79
68633.1
219922.1
252830.7
Blue94
179325.7
62330.4
138928.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions836620401001201407994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#5
33.10.0
30.830.9
Auto11.0
Teleop18.5
End3.7
red by 2.8
623
#10
30.41.5
24.425.9
Auto5.0
Teleop17.0
End8.4
Second
2528
#18
30.70.0
29.029.1
Auto7.7
Teleop17.0
End6.0
red by 2.3
1389
#15
28.41.8
22.424.3
Auto8.4
Teleop17.0
End3.0
Third
2199
#25
22.10.0
18.618.6
Auto6.6
Teleop12.7
End2.8
blue by 3.6
1793
#19
25.71.5
19.921.3
Auto10.8
Teleop10.1
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned61%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed