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Red72
219922.1
138928.4
533829.9
Blue75
68633.1
451417.4
61415.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions776320401001207275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5338
#17
29.90.0
29.629.6
Auto9.1
Teleop14.1
End6.6
blue by 3.3
686
#5
33.10.8
30.931.7
Auto11.0
Teleop18.5
End3.7
Second
1389
#15
28.40.0
24.324.2
Auto8.4
Teleop17.0
End3.0
red by 11.0
4514
#32
17.40.8
16.417.2
Auto6.2
Teleop10.4
End0.8
Third
2199
#25
22.10.0
18.618.6
Auto6.6
Teleop12.7
End2.8
red by 7.0
614
#29
15.10.8
16.016.8
Auto2.0
Teleop11.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed