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Red70
290023.1
179325.7
112321.7
Blue62
510625.6
394122.1
621317.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6362405070807062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1793
#19
25.70.7
21.322.0
Auto10.8
Teleop10.1
End4.8
red by 0.1
25.60.1
20.620.7
Auto10.0
Teleop9.9
End5.7
Second
2900
#20
23.10.7
19.019.7
Auto10.3
Teleop8.0
End4.8
red by 1.0
3941
#26
22.10.1
22.522.6
Auto6.1
Teleop13.1
End2.9
Third
1123
#22
21.70.7
19.920.5
Auto8.7
Teleop10.1
End2.9
red by 4.1
6213
#35
17.60.1
17.617.7
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsEarned50%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed