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Red73
494917.5
179325.7
597919.3
Blue82
290023.1
219922.1
594524.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485902040801001207382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1793
#19
25.71.3
22.023.3
Auto10.8
Teleop10.1
End4.8
red by 1.4
5945
#30
24.31.8
17.419.1
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End4.7
Second
5979
#36
19.31.3
14.315.6
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End3.7
blue by 3.7
2900
#20
23.11.8
19.721.4
Auto10.3
Teleop8.0
End4.8
Third
4949
#33
17.51.3
12.213.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End2.0
blue by 4.5
2199
#25
22.11.8
18.620.4
Auto6.6
Teleop12.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsEarned16%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed