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Red50
5317.5
179325.7
61415.1
Blue70
394122.1
406718.9
482118.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5458203040507080901005070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1793
#19
25.70.2
23.323.1
Auto10.8
Teleop10.1
End4.8
red by 3.6
3941
#26
22.10.9
21.822.7
Auto6.1
Teleop13.1
End2.9
Second
53
#38
17.50.2
12.912.7
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End1.3
blue by 1.5
4067
#23
18.90.9
17.418.3
Auto4.7
Teleop12.1
End2.2
Third
614
#29
15.10.2
17.016.8
Auto2.0
Teleop11.9
End1.1
blue by 3.6
4821
#16
18.70.9
16.717.7
Auto5.4
Teleop10.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsEarned66%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed