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Red78
88830.3
583015.1
191519.2
Blue88
62330.4
290023.1
242123.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5372204060801001207888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#8
30.31.6
26.728.3
Auto8.0
Teleop16.4
End5.9
blue by 0.1
623
#10
30.41.1
25.927.0
Auto5.0
Teleop17.0
End8.4
Second
1915
#27
19.21.6
16.618.2
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End3.2
blue by 4.6
23.81.1
19.220.2
Auto5.7
Teleop14.4
End3.6
Third
5830
#39
15.11.6
11.212.8
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End2.7
blue by 8.0
2900
#20
23.11.1
21.923.0
Auto10.3
Teleop8.0
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsEarned55%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed