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Red78
68633.1
621317.6
88830.3
Blue74
252830.7
296418.1
291221.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions855820401001201407874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#5
33.10.0
30.530.5
Auto11.0
Teleop18.5
End3.7
red by 2.4
2528
#18
30.70.6
28.929.5
Auto7.7
Teleop17.0
End6.0
Second
888
#8
30.30.0
28.328.3
Auto8.0
Teleop16.4
End5.9
red by 9.2
2912
#24
21.10.6
18.318.9
Auto9.1
Teleop8.4
End3.6
Third
6213
#35
17.60.0
19.419.4
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End2.4
blue by 0.5
2964
#31
18.10.6
13.213.7
Auto6.0
Teleop9.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned49%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed