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Red64
61224.4
594524.3
593618.2
Blue81
394122.1
296418.1
68633.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6970506080906481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
612
#28
24.40.9
26.425.5
Auto8.6
Teleop12.1
End3.7
blue by 8.8
686
#5
33.10.9
30.531.4
Auto11.0
Teleop18.5
End3.7
Second
5945
#30
24.30.9
21.720.8
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End4.7
red by 2.2
3941
#26
22.10.9
22.823.7
Auto6.1
Teleop13.1
End2.9
Third
5936
#37
18.20.9
19.518.6
Auto7.4
Teleop7.9
End2.9
Level
2964
#31
18.10.9
13.714.7
Auto6.0
Teleop9.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsMissed78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed