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Red81
252830.7
296120.5
379322.3
Blue78
594524.3
5317.5
113731.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6869506080908178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2528
#18
30.70.9
29.530.4
Auto7.7
Teleop17.0
End6.0
blue by 0.4
31.20.8
29.530.3
Auto9.6
Teleop16.0
End5.6
Second
3793
#12
22.30.9
21.822.7
Auto7.9
Teleop11.0
End3.4
blue by 2.0
5945
#30
24.30.8
21.322.1
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End4.7
Third
2961
#21
20.51.3
15.917.3
Auto3.7
Teleop12.4
End4.4
red by 3.0
53
#38
17.50.8
15.316.1
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned63%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed